RSS

November Real Estate Market: Seasonal Adjustments and Regional Variations in Price and Inventory

In November, the real estate market saw typical seasonal slowdowns, with sales, new listings, and inventory all decreasing compared to the previous month. Sales totaled 1,553 units, while new listings reached 2,251, leading to a 69% sales-to-new-listing ratio. This helped ease some of the pressure on inventory, which stood at 5,581 units—28% higher than last year and 15% above typical November levels. Despite the seasonal adjustments, supply levels remained elevated, signaling ongoing market shifts.

The increase in available properties was most notable in higher-density housing sectors, like row and apartment-style homes. The additional supply, partly due to new homes transitioning to the resale market, placed downward pressure on prices in these sectors. Apartment and row-style homes saw year-over-year price declines of 7% and 6%, respectively. Detached homes saw a smaller 2% price drop, but when considering year-to-date data, prices have remained slightly higher than last year.

For detached homes, sales in November were 823 units, similar to previous years. Although inventory remained above last year’s levels, it aligned with long-term trends. The months of supply for detached homes remained around three months, suggesting a balanced market. However, the benchmark price for detached homes dropped by nearly 2% from November last year, though it remained 1% higher when looking at year-to-date figures. Price declines were more pronounced in specific areas, such as the Northeast, where competition from new homes and increased supply weighed on prices.

Semi-detached homes experienced stable sales, with new listings higher than typical for November, leading to the highest inventory levels in five years. Despite the increase in supply, prices remained relatively stable, with the unadjusted benchmark price at $671,700. This sector saw the strongest year-to-date price growth at nearly 3%, driven largely by gains in the City Centre. The months of supply for semi-detached homes remained slightly above three, signaling a market approaching balance.

Apartment condominiums struggled the most with excess supply, as new listings remained high and inventory reached record levels. Sales dropped to long-term trend levels, and months of supply edged near six, placing significant downward pressure on prices. The benchmark price for apartments was $309,300, 7% lower than the same time last year. Despite a more modest 2% year-to-date decline, certain areas, such as the North East, saw steeper drops, while the West district held steady.

Regionally, Airdrie, Cochrane, and Okotoks showed varying trends. In Airdrie, inventory rose due to more new homes entering the resale market, causing slight price adjustments. Year-to-date prices for detached homes were down by nearly 1%. Cochrane experienced a record-high level of new listings, leading to higher inventory, but prices remained above last year’s levels. In Okotoks, sales improved compared to last month, supported by higher new listings, though overall supply remained tight. Prices in Okotoks remained higher than last year, despite some minor adjustments.

Read

Vancouver’s Struggling Housing Market

The housing market in Metro Vancouver continues to pose significant challenges for prospective homebuyers, despite recent improvements in affordability for certain property types. Although slower sales and slightly more affordable condos offer a glimmer of hope, the underlying issues remain concerning. Single-family homes, which are still out of reach for most first-time buyers, dominate the region's real estate market. While some price reductions and lower interest rates have helped make condos more accessible, they still consume a substantial portion of household income. Without financial assistance from family or other sources, many buyers are left struggling to enter the market, making Vancouver's housing crisis one of the most expensive in the country.

Affordability is notably better in the condo market, where recent price drops and the easing of mortgage rates have provided some relief. For example, the cost of purchasing a condo in Vancouver now absorbs 48 percent of the average household income, a significant improvement from 60 percent in late 2023. However, even with these changes, the affordability gap between Vancouver and other Canadian cities remains stark, especially when compared to places like Calgary, where condos absorb only 22 percent of household income. Despite the relative affordability of condos, overall home sales in Metro Vancouver have continued to stagnate, as many buyers expect further price declines. This, combined with a rising number of active listings, has created a buyer's market, but one where prices are under downward pressure, benefiting those who can afford to wait.

Looking ahead, the housing market’s long-term trajectory is uncertain. While demographic shifts and increasing immigration suggest a potential rebound in home sales by the late 2020s, the current market conditions do not inspire immediate optimism. Although new housing supply is at a high, with thousands of new homes being completed each month, the construction industry faces significant downturns, with layoffs and cancellations of projects becoming more common. This downturn in construction is expected to exacerbate housing shortages in the future, potentially driving prices back up. To address these challenges, experts argue that improving affordability in the short term will require a combination of lower interest rates, flat or falling home prices, and a more robust increase in household incomes. Additionally, addressing the bureaucratic hurdles in the development process, such as reducing development charges and streamlining permits, could alleviate some of the pressure on the housing market and help stabilize costs in the long run.

Read

Canada's Ambitious Housing Plan

Canada’s plan to double homebuilding over the next decade has generated cautious optimism, with experts recognizing the potential of new construction methods but raising concerns about implementation. The government’s investment in modular and prefabricated construction methods is seen as a critical move, especially given the country’s underdeveloped manufactured-home sector. By adopting these technologies, Canada could not only accelerate housing production but also create an export industry, utilizing its abundant raw materials. However, the success of this strategy will depend on the private sector’s ability to embrace these new techniques and on whether builders can overcome the prevailing uncertainty about the market.

While the government’s $13 billion investment in the Build Canada Homes program is a promising start, there are still many unanswered questions about how the plan will unfold. The goal of increasing housing starts to 500,000 annually by 2034—up from 245,000 in 2024—remains ambitious, and current plans suggest that only a small portion of that target will be met through government-led projects. Most of the construction is expected to be handled by private developers, who will be incentivized through financial support and fast-tracked processes. This reliance on the private sector raises concerns about whether the necessary investment and resources will materialize on the ground.

One key issue is the potential lack of focus on social housing, an area where the private sector has historically been less active. Experts suggest that while large-scale projects in major cities are important, the government should also direct resources toward smaller municipalities and rural areas, where the housing crisis is often more acute. Without a clear breakdown of the $13 billion and how it will be allocated, there are concerns that funding may be disproportionately focused on larger urban centers, leaving smaller communities underserved. Additionally, scaling up modular construction to the levels needed for this plan will require substantial investment in both infrastructure and workforce development, adding complexity to an already challenging undertaking.

The labor shortage in the construction industry is another critical challenge to the success of this housing initiative. According to a report from Deloitte Canada, the country will need an additional 290,000 workers in the construction sector by 2030 to meet the goal of doubling homebuilding. Even with increased productivity, this gap is unlikely to be bridged without significant investments in workforce development and attracting new talent to the industry. With an aging workforce and growing demand for public infrastructure projects, Canada will need to tap into diverse labor pools, including underrepresented groups, and increase efforts to recruit younger workers and women into the field.

In conclusion, while the federal government’s housing plan offers a potential path forward for addressing Canada’s housing crisis, its success will depend on overcoming a range of hurdles. The plan’s focus on modular construction and private-sector involvement is promising, but it requires clear policy direction, adequate investment, and a skilled workforce to meet the ambitious target. If these challenges are addressed, Canada could see a transformation in its housing sector that helps meet both immediate needs and long-term goals. However, without a comprehensive strategy to address these obstacles, the plan may struggle to reach its full potential.

Read

Canadian Housing Market Sees Resurgence in October

After a brief pause in September, the Canadian housing market saw a resurgence in October, with home sales increasing by 0.9% month-over-month. This uptick follows a steady trend that had been ongoing since April, suggesting that underlying demand for homes remains resilient despite broader economic uncertainties. The rise in sales activity comes at a time when interest rates are approaching levels that could stimulate more activity in the market, fueling expectations for continued growth in housing demand into 2026. However, this anticipated market boost is likely to be tempered by ongoing economic challenges, including inflation concerns and global financial instability.

In October, the number of new listings saw a slight decline of 1.4%, which, when combined with rising sales, led to a tightening in the sales-to-new listings ratio, reaching 52.2%. While this figure indicates a more active market, it remains below the long-term average of 54.9%, suggesting the market is not yet fully balanced. The MLS® Home Price Index also saw a modest 0.2% increase from September, though it remains down 3% compared to the same time last year. On a national scale, the average home price in Canada was reported at just over $690,000, reflecting a slight year-over-year decrease of 1.1%.

Looking ahead to the winter months and into 2026, there are signs that demand is building, with the number of properties listed for sale remaining close to the long-term average. The market's inventory at the end of October stood at 4.4 months, indicating a relatively stable environment, though still below the five-month long-term average. This suggests that while conditions are conducive for sellers, they are not extreme enough to create a clear seller’s market. As the spring market approaches, experts are keeping a close eye on the potential for pent-up demand to drive significant market movement, with expectations that the upcoming months could bring further shifts in housing trends.

Read

Longer Mortgages, Bigger Costs

The proposal for a 50-year mortgage, suggested in the U.S., has sparked mixed reactions. While it could lower monthly payments for homebuyers, experts argue the long-term costs are significant. Extending the loan period means paying much more in interest, as early payments would mainly cover interest rather than the principal. This slow build-up of equity could leave homeowners vulnerable to financial risk, especially if market conditions change.

Critics also raise concerns about the interest rates on a 50-year mortgage, which would likely be higher than a 30-year loan, reducing any potential savings. With minimal savings in monthly payments, and the risk of slow equity growth, the 50-year mortgage may not offer the benefits it's touted to provide. Many experts believe the solution to housing affordability lies in increasing housing supply, not extending mortgage terms.

In Canada, the idea of extending mortgage amortization periods is unlikely to gain traction due to differences in the mortgage systems. Unlike the U.S., where mortgages are securitized and sold, Canada's system is more risk-averse, relying on deposits for mortgage funding. This makes longer mortgages less feasible in Canada. Over the past two decades, Canada has reduced amortization periods, and there’s little appetite for extending them again.

Canada has already tightened rules, cutting amortization from 40 years to 35 years after the 2008 financial crisis. Today, the standard amortization is 25 years for insured borrowers and 30 years for uninsured borrowers. While there have been discussions about extending amortization for first-time homebuyers, these changes have been limited, and there is no indication that Canada will follow the U.S. model of longer mortgages in the near future.

Experts caution against extending mortgage terms in both countries, arguing that while it might ease monthly payments, it increases long-term financial risk. The focus, they say, should be on increasing housing supply to address affordability rather than offering longer loan periods.

Read

Preparing for 2026 in Uncertain Times

The latest federal budget brings mixed signals for the economy, with rising immigration numbers and uncertainty about inflation and interest rates. While the market may not bounce back immediately, demand will eventually rise again. The real challenge for many agents isn’t the market itself — it’s the inaction that's holding them back. Waiting for a perfect moment to act means you’re already behind. Opportunity doesn’t announce itself; it’s created by those who act now, even in uncertain times.

The real issue many agents are facing isn’t a tough market, it’s a lack of consistent effort. From neglecting key contacts and procrastinating on follow-ups, to relying too heavily on low-converting ads, agents are leaving money on the table. Success comes from doing the work: making calls, prospecting regularly, and focusing on relationships. While AI tools can help with tasks like writing content, they can't replace the essential work of staying visible and consistently engaging with your network.

To make the most of the coming year, start planning now. Review your results from this year, set a solid marketing budget, and break your goals down into actionable steps. Time-block your schedule, focus on daily tasks like calls and follow-ups, and use AI to amplify your efforts, not replace them. The market may be unpredictable, but your effort doesn’t have to be. If you want to be ready for 2026, the time to prepare is now.

Read

October Sees Solid Sales in Saskatchewan

Saskatchewan's housing market maintained its strength in October, posting the second-highest sales numbers ever recorded for the month. With 1,433 homes sold, sales were slightly down—by almost six percent—compared to last year’s record-breaking figures. However, these results still far exceed historical norms, marking the 28th consecutive month of above-average sales activity that began in mid-2023. This ongoing momentum reflects strong, sustained demand in the province’s real estate market, despite the slight dip in sales.

The number of new listings also saw a notable uptick in October, with 1,922 homes coming onto the market, an 11 percent increase compared to the same month in 2024. Despite this rise in listings, available inventory remained well below long-term averages, largely due to continued high sales volume. The result is a market where supply is still significantly constrained—nearly 50 percent lower than the 10-year average—posing an ongoing challenge for buyers trying to find available homes in the province.

Even amidst global economic uncertainty and broader market shifts, Saskatchewan's housing sector continues to show remarkable resilience. The benchmark price for residential properties in the province stood at $362,700 in October, down slightly from September but still nearly six percent higher than the same time last year. This sustained price growth, alongside continued strong sales in major urban centers like Saskatoon and Regina, suggests a high level of confidence in Saskatchewan’s real estate market. As the year progresses, the outlook remains positive, with expectations for sales to remain above historical averages well into November.

Read

Lower Interest Rates: What It Means for Consumers, Small Businesses, and the Housing Market

The Bank of Canada has recently reduced its key interest rate, a move that continues the pattern of rate cuts that began earlier in 2024. This decision directly affects borrowing costs across various sectors of the economy, from consumers to businesses. Interest rates, in simple terms, are the costs of borrowing money. They play a significant role in shaping both individual financial decisions and broader economic conditions. When interest rates are high, borrowing becomes more expensive, which typically discourages spending. Conversely, lower rates make borrowing cheaper, often encouraging both consumers and businesses to spend more, stimulating economic activity.

For homeowners, particularly those with variable-rate mortgages, interest rate cuts can provide immediate financial relief. As the Bank of Canada lowers its key rate, banks adjust their prime rates, leading to reduced monthly mortgage payments for those with variable rates. This change can also have a ripple effect in the housing market. Potential homebuyers may be more inclined to make a purchase when borrowing becomes more affordable. Furthermore, the lower rates might prompt lenders to offer more attractive fixed mortgage rates, making homeownership more accessible. As a result, reduced interest rates often contribute to an uptick in housing sales, which can help fuel broader economic growth.

Small businesses are also affected by changes in interest rates, though the impact is more nuanced. On the one hand, lower borrowing costs can ease the financial burden on small businesses, especially those that carry variable-rate loans for things like property or equipment. This relief might allow business owners to invest in expansion, hire more staff, or purchase new assets. However, the broader economic landscape, marked by trade uncertainties and rising operational costs, may temper the positive effects of rate cuts. Many small business owners remain cautious, uncertain about the future due to factors like labor shortages and rising insurance premiums. Consequently, while lower interest rates may help reduce some immediate costs, they don’t necessarily translate into an optimistic outlook for businesses dealing with other pressures.

For individual consumers, lower interest rates often mean cheaper loans, including car loans and credit lines. The reduction in borrowing costs can free up disposable income, allowing consumers to spend on goods and services, which further stimulates the economy. However, not all financial activities benefit from rate cuts. Savers, for instance, may see their returns on savings accounts and fixed-term investments like Guaranteed Investment Certificates (GICs) decline. This can be frustrating for those relying on interest income. On the other hand, individuals with investments in the stock market, particularly in bonds, might see their portfolios benefit as bond prices typically rise when interest rates fall. The net impact on personal finances depends largely on one's asset mix and financial priorities.

While the immediate effects of interest rate changes are visible, it takes time for the full economic consequences to play out. Economists suggest that it can take about a year and a half for rate cuts to work their way through the economy. As banks adjust their lending rates, these changes influence consumer behavior and business decision-making. The Bank of Canada's interest rate decisions are often seen as a signal of the central bank's outlook on the economy, and they can shape public confidence. This in turn can affect how Canadians approach spending, saving, and investing, with ripples that extend far beyond the financial sector. Through these mechanisms, the Bank of Canada exercises a form of "soft power" in guiding economic expectations and behavior across the country.

Read

Effective Tax Relief or Just a Band-Aid?

The Ontario government's recent proposal to provide tax relief for first-time homebuyers has sparked mixed reactions from industry experts. Under the plan, first-time buyers of new homes valued up to $1 million would be eligible for a rebate on the provincial portion of the HST, which could save them as much as $80,000 when combined with existing relief programs. Additionally, homes valued between $1 million and $1.5 million would qualify for partial rebates. While these measures are intended to ease the burden of homeownership for many Ontarians, experts question whether the relief will have a meaningful impact on affordability or stimulate significant construction activity.

Despite the potential for savings, some industry professionals remain skeptical about the overall effectiveness of the rebate. For instance, some argue that the relief may be insufficient to address the broader housing challenges, particularly in high-demand urban areas where inventory remains limited. While the rebate may help to a degree, it is unlikely to overcome the larger issues plaguing the market, such as high interest rates and a lack of affordable housing options. Furthermore, even with the added federal rebate, experts caution that the housing market may not see a significant uptick in new construction because of the proposed measures.

The challenges facing first-time buyers are compounded by ongoing high mortgage rates, which continue to limit purchasing power. Despite a recent interest rate cut by the Bank of Canada, the overall cost of borrowing remains high due to rising bond yields. This factor has kept many potential buyers on the sidelines, as monthly mortgage payments for many homes remain out of reach. Industry analysts agree that while the proposed rebate is a positive step, it is unlikely to serve as a comprehensive solution to Ontario’s ongoing housing affordability crisis. For many, the root issue lies in the larger economic conditions and housing supply constraints that continue to shape the market.

Read

Financial Preparation Key to Homeownership Success, Experts Say

Mortgage experts are emphasizing that financial preparation, rather than simply saving for a down payment, is key to a successful transition from renting to homeownership. A recent survey revealed that nearly nine out of ten Canadians are concerned about housing affordability and security. This growing anxiety around the housing market has surpassed even healthcare as a national issue, with a significant number of Canadians now prioritizing housing as a top concern, reflecting the challenges faced by renters hoping to enter the market.

The rising cost of living, already a primary concern for many Canadians, has only exacerbated the stress surrounding homeownership. While saving for a down payment remains crucial, experts argue that renters need to prepare more broadly by focusing on their financial health in areas such as credit history and debt management. A shift is being observed among renters, with many now adopting a more cautious approach to homeownership. Mortgage professionals suggest that prospective buyers are spending more time scrutinizing their finances and setting realistic long-term goals before committing to a mortgage, rather than simply focusing on accumulating enough savings for a down payment.

Financial experts stress that renters often underestimate the hidden costs of buying a home. While the down payment is a major hurdle, there are additional upfront expenses that can take buyers by surprise. These costs, which typically range from 1.5% to 4% of the home’s purchase price, include legal fees, land transfer taxes, and title insurance. New homeowners also need to budget for moving expenses and create an emergency fund to ensure they are not financially strained once they move in. Planning ahead for these expenses is a key part of a successful home-buying journey, ensuring that individuals are fully prepared for the costs beyond just the down payment.

Credit scores and debt management remain crucial elements in securing a mortgage. Mortgage brokers highlight that lenders heavily rely on credit histories to determine approval and interest rates. Renters aiming to buy a home should keep credit card balances low, ensure they pay bills on time, and avoid opening new credit accounts in the year leading up to their mortgage application. Improving one’s credit score and reducing high-interest debt are essential steps for making a mortgage application more attractive to lenders, thereby increasing the chances of receiving favorable terms.

Finally, setting clear and realistic financial goals is vital for those considering homeownership. Mortgage experts recommend that renters break down their home-buying goals into manageable steps, such as saving a set amount each paycheck or achieving specific credit-score targets. By tracking progress over time and adjusting timelines as needed, prospective buyers can stay on track and keep the dream of homeownership achievable. Whether through family support, government programs, or a careful balance of income and debt management, the key to homeownership is careful planning, rather than relying solely on saving for a down payment.

Read

Toronto’s Journey to Its First Supertall Tower

Toronto’s One Bloor West is marking a significant milestone in the city’s real estate development scene after years of delays and financial challenges. The towering structure recently achieved a major feat by surpassing 300 meters, officially earning its status as Canada's first supertall tower. This milestone not only signifies the progress of the One Bloor West project but also sets the stage for a new era of high-rise development in Canada. Despite its difficult and tumultuous journey, with cost overruns, delays, and shifting developers, the project is now positioned to redefine Toronto’s skyline and raise the bar for future mega-towers.

The road to success for One Bloor West has been far from smooth. Originally launched in 2015, the project encountered multiple obstacles, including a massive budget overrun and delays caused by global events like the COVID-19 pandemic. What was once an ambitious plan for luxury condos, a hotel, and an iconic retail space—anchored by Apple—became mired in legal disputes and financial setbacks. At one point, the project faced significant debt and delays, with construction years behind schedule and costs spiraling. However, despite the early missteps and financial instability, the tower’s relocation to Tridel, a seasoned developer with a strong track record, has injected new life into the project, and its long-awaited completion is now slated for 2028.

The completion of One Bloor West will be a defining moment for Toronto’s real estate market, as it presents both challenges and opportunities for future supertall developments. The project’s location in the coveted Yorkville neighborhood, along major transit lines, and its ambitious design will make it a landmark property in the city. However, building such a towering structure comes with significant engineering and financial challenges. Super-tall buildings require extensive groundwork, translating to higher construction costs and, consequently, higher condo prices. Despite potential market hurdles, the tower is expected to be a prestigious address in Toronto, offering residents prime access to luxury living in one of the city’s most desirable areas. It’s clear that while the road to completion has been rocky, the final product promises to be a beacon of ambition and architectural innovation.

Read

Saskatchewan Office Leasing Surge

Saskatchewan’s office market received a significant boost with the lease of nearly 100,000 square feet at a prominent property in Regina, marking one of the largest commercial real estate transactions in the province in recent years. This deal signals renewed confidence in the urban office markets of both Regina and Saskatoon, which have faced challenges due to shifting work trends and changing tenant demands.

The large lease commitment is seen as a positive development for Regina’s downtown economy, helping to retain jobs and support the commercial sector. As the office market stabilizes, vacancy rates in Regina have improved, dropping from 17–18% a few years ago to about 13% today. While recovery is slow, experts believe the market is trending in the right direction, with signs of increased leasing activity and demand for higher-quality spaces.

Saskatoon is experiencing similar trends, with suburban office markets remaining balanced, though downtown vacancies remain high. Overall, the market is adjusting as tenants reassess their needs in a post-pandemic world. Despite some challenges, the long-term outlook for both cities remains positive, with demand for premium office space expected to grow.

Saskatchewan's robust natural resource sector continues to fuel economic optimism, contributing to the overall stability of the province's real estate market. As more companies return to in-person work, leasing activity is expected to pick up, further supporting the ongoing recovery of the office market in Saskatchewan.

Read
Data is supplied by Pillar 9™ MLS® System. Pillar 9™ is the owner of the copyright in its MLS®System. Data is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed accurate by Pillar 9™.
The trademarks MLS®, Multiple Listing Service® and the associated logos are owned by The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) and identify the quality of services provided by real estate professionals who are members of CREA. Used under license.