The Canadian housing market showed signs of fragility in September, according to a recent report, with uneven trends across the country. Data from local real estate boards indicated a subdued start to the fall season, with many regions experiencing lackluster activity. While some areas such as Winnipeg, Regina, and Toronto saw slight increases in home resales compared to August, most markets remained relatively stagnant. This suggests that the housing recovery is still in a delicate state, with some regions struggling to regain momentum.
Several major cities, including Vancouver, Calgary, Edmonton, Saskatoon, and Montreal, saw small declines in home sales. These slight downturns reinforce the view that the market is far from stable, with regional disparities becoming more apparent. In contrast, certain areas such as Ontario, British Columbia, and parts of Alberta have seen an expansion in housing inventory, giving buyers more options and increasing their leverage in negotiations. This shift has contributed to a general sense of hesitation among potential buyers, many of whom are waiting for further price drops before committing to a purchase.
Toronto, in particular, has experienced a notable decrease in home prices, with inventory reaching levels not seen in decades. This trend has led to a continuous decline in property values, with the average home price dropping by 25 percent compared to the peak in early 2022. While this price drop has stirred some activity, the overall market remains cautious. Despite a modest 2 percent increase in resales from August, home resales in the city have surged by 22 percent over the last four months, reflecting increased buyer interest. However, these gains have not been enough to undo the significant price surge that occurred during the pandemic years.
Vancouver, despite experiencing a similar rise in inventory and decline in home values, continues to be one of Canada's most expensive markets. Although home prices have fallen by over 9 percent since their peak in spring 2022, the city remains out of reach for many buyers due to its high cost. Looking ahead, regional trends are expected to remain divergent, with a recovery possibly emerging as economic conditions improve. The housing market may stabilize as employment figures strengthen, though experts caution that the path forward could be turbulent.