RSS

Housing, Wealth, and Generations

With the federal election just around the corner, housing affordability is emerging as a decisive issue for Canadian voters. This concern is not just about present-day financial pressures, but also about the long-term implications for the next generation’s ability to own homes. Recent data from Statistics Canada emphasizes how homeownership—or the lack of it—can shape intergenerational wealth and opportunity.

A key finding is that children of homeowners are far more likely to own homes themselves compared to those from renting families. This is largely because homeowners can more easily transfer wealth to their children, often in the form of down payment assistance or inheritance. In 2023, the median inheritance received by homeowners was over $85,000—nearly three times what renters received. Additionally, over 40% of homeowners reported receiving familial financial support to buy a home, compared to fewer than 10% of renters.

These disparities have serious implications. Homeownership tends to create a cycle of wealth-building, while renters—especially those who don’t receive financial help from family—face increasing barriers to entering the housing market. Even though renting is sometimes promoted as a viable lifestyle choice, particularly due to lower maintenance costs and the potential to invest saved money elsewhere, Statistics Canada shows that homeownership remains the dominant path to wealth accumulation. In 2023, housing equity made up 42% of Canadian households' total wealth, and nearly half of the net worth of younger families.

This growing divide is exacerbated by rising housing prices. As property values soar, homeowners gain more equity, enabling them to provide even more support to their children. This trend increases the wealth gap between families who own property and those who don’t. From 2019 to 2023, young homeowning households saw their median net worth more than triple, while the net worth of their renting counterparts rose only modestly.

As Canadians head to the polls, the issue of housing affordability is not just about the present—it’s about shaping a future where the ability to own a home isn't determined solely by one's family background. With the leading parties proposing strategies to build more homes and assist first-time buyers, there is growing pressure on policymakers to address these disparities and offer greater support to young families without inherited wealth.

Read

Rethinking Foreign Buyer Restrictions

Public support for restrictions on foreign homebuyers, such as taxes and purchase bans, has been strong for several years. However, as economic uncertainty slows an already weak condo pre-sales market and hampers plans for new rental developments, there’s renewed debate about whether current rules on foreign buyers should be revised.

Currently, Canada has a federal ban on non-Canadians buying residential properties in key urban areas, in effect until January 2027, while British Columbia also imposes a 20% foreign buyer tax and other housing-related levies.

Some developers and real estate professionals argue that easing restrictions on foreign investment—especially for new builds—could provide the capital needed to get stalled projects moving, particularly rental developments that are harder to finance. They point to examples like Australia, which recently banned foreign buyers from purchasing existing homes but still allows investment in new housing.

While some in the industry support targeted changes to attract foreign capital, federal political parties have largely stayed silent or doubled down on restrictions. Public sentiment remains strongly in favor of bans, especially among older voters. Younger voters, though more focused on housing affordability, may not be receptive to allowing foreign investors more access to the market.

Academic analysis also highlights that restrictions have helped temper housing price increases, but stresses that better oversight and regulation would be needed if Canada were to allow more foreign involvement in new housing projects.

Read

Prefabricated Homes for Ontario’s Market: A Modern Housing Solution

The Ontario Real Estate Association (OREA) highlights a growing housing affordability and supply crisis in Ontario and proposes factory-built housing—modular or prefabricated homes—as a viable solution. With demand rising, prices soaring, and housing starts in decline, OREA emphasizes that traditional methods alone cannot meet Ontario’s ambitious housing targets. The association argues that unless significant reforms are made, homeownership will become increasingly out of reach, with nearly half of aspiring homeowners already pessimistic or giving up on the idea entirely.

Factory-built housing involves constructing homes off-site and assembling them on location. This method includes modular, panelized, and mobile homes and can reduce construction time by 20–50% without compromising quality. These homes can align with local architectural styles, meet national building standards, and support multi-unit designs. OREA presents factory-built housing as not only a faster, cost-effective solution to the housing crisis but also as a strategy for economic growth and environmental sustainability.

Several Ontario cities have already seen success with modular housing initiatives. Toronto has built over 200 affordable units, Peterborough completed 50 tiny homes in seven months, and London used a hybrid model to expedite a 61-unit project. At the federal level, Canada’s Rapid Housing Initiative has contributed to over 15,000 new homes using modular construction since 2020.

OREA also emphasizes that factory-built housing could help meet the needs of Ontario’s aging population by enabling the rapid development of accessible, ground-level communities for seniors, potentially easing pressure on the resale market.

However, challenges remain, including inconsistent municipal definitions, outdated regulations, limited public awareness, and transportation issues such as seasonal road restrictions. To address these barriers, OREA proposes five key policy recommendations: standardize definitions, collaborate nationally, reduce regulatory hurdles, invest in public-private partnerships, and amend transport laws.

Overall, OREA argues that with the right policy environment and investment, factory-built housing could significantly boost Ontario’s housing supply, reduce costs, create jobs, and support long-term sustainability goals.

Read

Tight Supply Fuels Price Growth in Saskatchewan’s Real Estate Market

Saskatchewan’s housing market is outperforming national trends, showing notable strength despite broader economic uncertainty and challenges like potential tariffs. According to the latest data from the Saskatchewan Realtors Association (SRA), the province recorded 1,277 home sales in March—an 8% increase compared to last year and 13% above the 10-year average. This growth highlights Saskatchewan's resilience at a time when many other Canadian markets are seeing stagnation or decline.

A major factor behind this robust performance is the widening gap between demand and available housing supply. While inventory levels saw a slight monthly increase from February to March, they remain significantly low—down 21% year-over-year and 50% below the 10-year average. The shortage is especially pronounced in Saskatoon and Regina, where housing supply is nearing historic lows. Saskatoon had less than one month of inventory heading into April, while Regina wasn’t far behind, both well under what's considered a balanced market.

This imbalance is pushing home prices higher across the province. Saskatchewan's benchmark home price reached $353,600 in March, reflecting a $9,000 increase from the previous month and over 6% growth year-over-year. Saskatoon set a new record with a benchmark price of $415,900, marking a $25,000 annual jump. Regina’s prices also continued climbing, nearing all-time highs at $326,300.

Overall, the combination of high demand, low supply, and rising prices paints a picture of a dynamic and competitive housing market in Saskatchewan, standing in stark contrast to trends seen in many other regions of Canada.

Read

Edmonton Real Estate Market Thrives in 2025

The Edmonton real estate market is experiencing continued growth into 2025, with notable increases in home sales and new listings. In March 2025, there were 2,494 homes sold in the greater Edmonton area, marking a 36.9% increase from the previous month and a 1.3% rise compared to March 2024. New listings for homes also surged, with a 44.5% jump from February and a 7.5% increase year-over-year. This strong market performance has surpassed initial predictions for 2025, highlighting a resilient real estate environment despite external factors such as tariffs on Canadian goods.

A major driver of this growth is the affordability of Edmonton’s housing market, particularly when compared to other major Canadian cities like Calgary. The price gap between Edmonton and Calgary remains significant, with a $200,000 difference in housing costs. This affordability continues to attract people to the Edmonton area, bolstering the demand for homes and keeping prices strong. The average price of detached homes in Edmonton is $574,872, representing a 1.2% increase from February and an 11.2% rise compared to the previous year. Other housing types, including semi-detached homes, townhouses, and apartments, have also seen significant price hikes, ranging from 12% to 20%.

In addition to rising home prices, the market has seen a shift in the types of properties being sold. There was a notable increase in detached home sales in March, likely driven by families looking to settle in areas with good schools. However, the surge in housing demand has led to some challenges, such as a shortage of inventory. A large portion of recent housing projects have been rental-based, contributing to a lack of supply for people seeking to purchase homes.

Despite these supply issues, the overall market remains strong, with multiple offers being made on homes in the $450,000-$550,000 range. While the impact of U.S. tariffs on building materials is expected to affect new home builds, Edmonton’s real estate market continues to show resilience, with price increases and strong sales across all housing categories.

Read

Regional Housing Insights

Airdrie
March saw 160 homes sold in Airdrie, bringing the total for the first quarter to 395 units. This is 11% lower than last year at this time, but there’s a bit of a silver lining. New listings have been on the rise, which helped ease the sales-to-new-listings ratio down to 57% in March. This also led to more inventory becoming available. In comparison to last year, when supply was tight, we’re now seeing 398 units in inventory—quite the jump from just 164 units last March. With just under two and a half months of supply, the market is gradually becoming more balanced. As the market shifts away from being so seller-focused, home prices are experiencing less upward pressure. In March, the detached benchmark price was $651,300—up from last month and over 2% higher than last year. It’s also not too far off from the peak price of $657,400 we saw last June.

Cochrane
In Cochrane, March sales remained steady compared to last year, and the first quarter has shown a slight increase from 2024, staying well above long-term averages. There’s been an uptick in new listings, but with sales still strong, the sales-to-new-listings ratio remained high at 67%. This has slowed down the growth in inventory a bit compared to some other areas. By March, there were 213 units in inventory—higher than last year’s low levels, but consistent with typical trends for the time of year. This balanced inventory and solid sales are bringing things closer to a more stable market, especially compared to the last few years. Price growth has slowed as a result, but in March, detached benchmark prices reached $686,800, up from last month and more than 5% higher than this time last year. While growth has slowed, March still set a new record high for detached prices in Cochrane.

Okotoks
Okotoks saw 129 sales in the first quarter, a decrease from last year’s 155 during the same period. However, new listings are starting to improve, and the sales-to-new-listings ratio is holding steady above 60%. That means inventory is still quite low. With only 96 homes available in March and 53 sales, there’s less than two months of supply, which has kept pushing prices higher, both monthly and year-over-year. While price growth has slowed since last year, March’s detached benchmark price hit $715,500—setting a new record high for the town and more than 5% higher than last March.

Read

March 2025: Calgary Housing Market Update

In March, ongoing economic uncertainty, particularly from tariff concerns, affected consumer confidence and slowed housing activity, with sales dropping by 19% year-over-year to 2,159 units. All property types saw declines in sales, especially higher-density homes. However, sales still outpaced those from 2015-2020, a time of significant economic strain. The decline in demand was balanced by a rise in new listings and growing inventories, helping to shift the market back toward more balanced conditions after years of favoring sellers.

March saw over 4,000 new listings, leading to a decrease in the sales-to-new-listing ratio to 54%, which supported further inventory growth. Residential inventory reached 5,154 units, and the months of supply increased to 2.4 months. While the market has shifted from last year’s conditions, there is still limited supply across all property types, providing a better balance between buyers and sellers, though regional and price differences remain.

The increase in supply has also eased pressure on home prices. The benchmark price for residential properties in March remained steady at $592,500, similar to both last month and last year. Prices for detached and semi-detached homes have stayed near their peaks, while apartment and row home prices are slightly below their high points from last year.

Detached Homes
Sales of detached homes in March declined by 10% compared to last year, totaling 1,035 units. However, the increase in new listings helped raise inventory levels. The months of supply for detached homes rose to just over two months, an improvement from last spring. Homes under $700,000 remain in tight supply, but homes priced above $800,000 are seeing more balanced conditions. The benchmark price for detached homes rose to $769,800, up 4% from last year.

Semi-Detached Homes
Sales of semi-detached homes slowed in March, contributing to an 11% decrease in the first quarter. The increase in new listings helped boost inventory, raising the months of supply to 2.2 months. The benchmark price for semi-detached homes reached $691,900, more than 5% higher than last year.

Row Homes
March saw a large increase in new row home listings, with 697 units added. This led to a rise in inventory and a more balanced market. The unadjusted benchmark price for row homes rose 2% year-over-year, reaching $454,000, but it remains nearly 4% below the peak from last June.

Apartment Condominiums
Condo sales in March dropped the most compared to other property types, but they were still above long-term trends. Increased new listings led to higher inventory levels, with the months of supply rising to over three months. The benchmark price for condominiums was $336,100, nearly 3% higher than last year, but still below last August’s peak.

Read

Booming Start, but Economic and Political Worries Take a Toll

Canada’s luxury real estate market began 2025 with strong momentum, but this pace slowed as concerns over the economy and global political instability emerged. The latest Luxury Market Report shows that while many Canadian markets saw impressive year-over-year sales growth in January and February—particularly in smaller cities like Saskatoon and Montreal—the latter part of the winter season experienced a shift. This change was driven by factors such as stock market fluctuations, tariffs, and rising political uncertainty.

Initially, homebuyers were eager to invest in the luxury market, buoyed by consumer confidence, strong stock market performance, and favorable lending conditions. However, this optimism quickly waned amid escalating tensions between Canada and the U.S.

Smaller cities took the lead early in the year, with sales in places like Saskatoon and Montreal doubling, while cities such as Edmonton and Ottawa saw sales rise by more than 50%. In contrast, larger, higher-priced markets like Hamilton, Greater Vancouver, and the Greater Toronto Area (GTA) experienced declines in sales.

Despite these challenges, the luxury segment remains resilient. The GTA’s ultra-luxury market continues to thrive, with several homes selling for over $7.5 million. Similarly, luxury condominiums in Vancouver and Toronto are showing positive trends, particularly following the December 2024 changes to federal mortgage insurance rules, which have supported buyers in markets like Edmonton and Saskatoon.

Shifting demographics are also driving demand, as more people relocate to cities like Calgary, Edmonton, and Saskatoon. There is also growing interest in multi-generational and downsized luxury properties.

While some markets are taking a cautious wait-and-see approach, the long-term outlook for Canada’s luxury real estate remains positive. With increasing wealth, population growth, and an impending wealth transfer, demand for high-end properties is expected to stay strong, even in the face of potential economic challenges.

Read

A New Approach to Manage Mortgage Risk in Canada

The Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI) is considering replacing Canada’s controversial mortgage stress test with a new risk management approach focused on the overall mortgage portfolios of banks rather than individual borrower qualifications. This shift could significantly reshape the housing market by moving from evaluating individual borrowers to managing institutional risk.

Introduced in 2016, the mortgage stress test has been both praised for protecting Canada’s financial system during periods of low interest rates and criticized for limiting homeownership opportunities. It requires borrowers to qualify at either 5.25% or their contract rate plus 2%, whichever is higher. While it helped maintain low default rates during recent rate hikes, economic changes like inflation and trade tensions suggest a more flexible, portfolio-based approach could better address current market challenges.

OSFI’s proposed new method would limit banks to issuing no more than 15% of their mortgages to borrowers with mortgage debt exceeding 450% of their annual income. This shift would move risk management responsibility from individual borrowers to banks, encouraging more strategic lending practices.

The potential changes could affect Canada’s real estate market in various ways, including making mortgages more accessible for some while creating new challenges for borrowers with high debt-to-income ratios. The shift also reflects Canada’s cautious history with mortgage regulation, influenced by past market crashes.

As OSFI continues to evaluate this change, its impact on affordability and overall market stability will be significant. Whether this represents the end of the stress test or the start of a new hybrid approach remains to be seen, but it’s clear that Canada's mortgage regulation will evolve in response to emerging economic realities.

Read

Ontario’s Housing Challenges

Ontario is facing a severe housing and cost of living crisis, worsened by multiple challenges for home builders.

Housing Shortage and Declining Housing Starts:
Housing starts have sharply dropped, putting Ontario far from its goal of 1.5 million new homes by 2031. In some municipalities, starts have fallen by over 35%, creating a supply shortage and pressure on future homebuyers.

Impact of Development Charges:
Development charges in the Greater Toronto Area (GTA) have risen significantly, with some municipalities charging over $200,000 per home. These costs are passed to consumers, inflating home prices. Additionally, delays in permitting further hinder homebuilding.

Rising Construction Costs and Economic Uncertainty:
Tariffs are escalating material costs, on top of inflation and interest rate hikes, making construction less viable. Disruptions in the supply chain are causing delays in projects, and higher costs may deter future investments.

Risks of Economic Decline and Currency Depreciation:
A weakened Canadian dollar could further increase the cost of imported materials, raising home prices and discouraging new construction.

Increased Infrastructure Costs:
Tariffs also impact essential infrastructure for new housing, such as water, wastewater, and transit. Rising costs could delay infrastructure projects, reducing the number of homes being built.

Potential Solutions:
Reducing municipal delays and lowering development charges could ease the burden on builders. Exploring ways to reduce land costs and make more land available for development could also help. However, these measures would take time to implement.

Long-Term Opportunities:
While the immediate outlook is challenging, focusing on building Canadian resources and fostering interprovincial trade could strengthen Canada's economy in the future. For now, the housing sector faces significant risks from tariffs and rising construction costs.

The situation is urgent, but it presents an opportunity for long-term economic resilience. However, the immediate impact of tariffs and construction cost increases remains a critical concern for Ontario’s housing market.

Read

Trade War Concerns Lead to Major Decline in Canadian Home Sales

Canadian home sales took a sharp dip from January to February, with many buyers sitting out as the trade tensions with the United States continued. According to the latest data from Canadian MLS® Systems, sales dropped by 9.8% month-over-month in February 2025, hitting the lowest point since November 2023. This was the biggest decline in sales activity since May 2022.

Senior Economist at CREA, shared, “When tariffs were announced on January 20, we started to see a gap between this year’s sales and last year’s, and it kept growing through February. This led to a significant, though not unexpected, drop in sales activity.” He also noted that this slowdown is showing up in home prices, especially in Ontario’s region.

The sales slump was widespread, with nearly three-quarters of local markets seeing declines. The biggest drops were in the Greater Toronto Area and the Greater Golden Horseshoe areas.

Key February Takeaways:

  • National home sales were down by 9.8% compared to January.

  • February’s sales were 10.4% lower than the same time last year.

  • New listings fell by 12.7% month-over-month.

  • The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) dropped 0.8% from January and 1% compared to February 2024.

  • The national average sale price was down by 3.3% year-over-year.

New listings also saw a big drop, falling 12.7% from January, reversing the unexpected spike from the month before. With both sales and new listings decreasing at similar rates, the national sales-to-new listings ratio ticked up slightly to 49.9%, compared to 48.3% in January. Typically, a ratio between 45% and 65% is considered balanced.

By the end of February 2025, there were 146,250 homes listed for sale across Canadian MLS® Systems, a 13.1% increase from last year but still below the long-term average of around 174,000 listings for this time.

CREA Chair, mentioned, “The uncertainty over the past few weeks has made some buyers more cautious. However, for others, the softer pricing and lower interest rates could be a great opportunity.”

At the end of February, there were 4.7 months of inventory, up from 4.1 months in January. With a long-term average of five months, this suggests that the market is slowly moving toward more balanced conditions.

Read

The Benefits of Larger Down Payments

Making a larger down payment usually results in smaller mortgage payments, and this is particularly true in Calgary's current, pricier resale housing market.

A recent study shows that making a larger down payment can significantly reduce monthly mortgage payments by lowering the overall loan amount. Many first-time buyers manage to save up a 5% down payment, but if they receive additional help from family, which is becoming more common in Calgary, it can make a big difference in reducing their future monthly payments.

The study, conducted by a national realty firm, examined the impact of larger down payments on mortgage payments in several Canadian cities, including Calgary. For example, in Calgary, where the average home price at the end of 2024 was approximately $624,000, a $50,000 down payment (around 8%) would result in a monthly mortgage payment of roughly $3,104. Calgary ranked lower than other cities, where $50,000 would cover a larger portion of the purchase price.

In Canada, to qualify for mortgage insurance, a minimum 5% down payment is required. This insurance is necessary unless the buyer can make a down payment of at least 20%. For comparison, Thunder Bay had the lowest average home price in the study at $282,000. A $50,000 down payment there would cover nearly 18% of the home’s price, resulting in a monthly payment of just $1,240.

The study also looked at larger down payments, increasing by $50,000 increments up to $250,000. In Calgary, a $250,000 down payment would cover 40% of the average home price, lowering the monthly mortgage payment to around $1,945. Meanwhile, in Greater Vancouver, where the average home price is significantly higher, $250,000 would only cover about 21% of the $1.2 million price, leading to a monthly payment of $5,009.

Some realtors advise that first-time buyers carefully consider their mortgage options before committing to a 20% down payment to avoid insurance premiums. In some cases, putting down just under 20% can secure a better mortgage rate, and buyers may also be able to arrange bridge financing to assist with the down payment.

With the spring market approaching, it's crucial for buyers to ensure their finances are in order, especially given Calgary's competitive market for single-family detached homes. The benchmark price for these homes rose 5% to $760,500 in February year-over-year.

Experts suggest that buyers should consider using the maximum amount they are approved for to purchase a home that meets their needs. Instead of buying a fixer-upper for $600,000, it might be wiser to use the full borrowing limit to buy a home that doesn’t need repairs, even if it means a slightly higher monthly mortgage payment. Everyone's financial situation is unique, but it's important not to be afraid to stretch your budget if it’s affordable.

Read
Data is supplied by Pillar 9™ MLS® System. Pillar 9™ is the owner of the copyright in its MLS®System. Data is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed accurate by Pillar 9™.
The trademarks MLS®, Multiple Listing Service® and the associated logos are owned by The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) and identify the quality of services provided by real estate professionals who are members of CREA. Used under license.